zzaqad
0x468ccfd042b5a47aa76a80f94a197a9e27a0f2de
- Realised P&L
- $-376.52
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $326.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.991 | $200.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.987 | $89.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.964 | 0.980 | $35.60 | +$0.56 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 9? · No | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.95at 0.950Will BNB dip to $600 in November?
- +$11.40at 0.860Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$11.35at 0.950No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
- +$10.96at 0.975Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$8.89at 0.969Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:03 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 07:03 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9879468397 | $90.00 |
| 08-01 07:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.981 | $137.34 |
| 07-15 07:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.963999998 | $170.00 |
| 07-15 07:48 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $150.00 |
| 06-29 07:12 | LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 06-14 05:45 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.98 | $150.00 |
| 06-14 05:43 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $166.00 |
| 05-15 05:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $170.00 |
| 05-15 05:30 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999985 | $144.00 |
| 04-18 12:36 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30? | BUY | 0.9929999954 | $160.00 |
| 04-13 14:47 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | BUY | 0.9884003704 | $150.00 |
| 04-13 14:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $149.83 |
| 03-29 08:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9921047903 | $300.00 |
| 03-09 07:15 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.949845374 | $215.00 |