0x73ba23764b83E5724C578cCDcA82075D29135297-1770068146150
0x468c47f2e0e7052e34b26c02fc5a6f509543151e
- Realised P&L
- $408.86
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $66.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.500 | $57.24 | +$27.24 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.098 | $8.84 | −$16.16 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.01 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$375.30at 0.075Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$126.73at 0.076Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$10.02at 0.426Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
- +$3.44at 0.340Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$2.59at 0.214Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:04 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 18:42 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2755905454 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 14:29 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.0289132575 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 14:21 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.30 |
| 07-28 07:01 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? | BUY | 0.0998056974 | $9.40 |
| 07-28 06:08 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 06:05 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? | BUY | 0.042999996 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 00:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in July? | BUY | 0.2135010156 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 14:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July? | SELL | 0.571 | $39.44 |
| 07-27 02:50 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July? | BUY | 0.425999992 | $29.43 |
| 07-26 08:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.1639999857 | $9.35 |
| 07-26 08:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.11 | $10.18 |
| 07-25 18:05 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.3899999592 | $3.73 |
| 07-25 17:59 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.93 |