0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85bE422bce8b97cDc0B4d40-1774522804970
0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85be422bce8b97cdc0b4d40
- Realised P&L
- $176.32
- Volume
- $717.6k
- Markets traded
- 498
- Open portfolio
- $73.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded498
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.022Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$27.00at 0.100Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$21.53at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?
- +$17.50at 0.002Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.27at 0.023Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0552733333 | $0.83 |
| 08-04 22:45 | Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 08-04 22:18 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.0447090637 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:15 | Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 08-04 22:03 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:03 | Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0484 | $2.42 |
| 08-04 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:51 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:51 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:51 | Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0097817687 | $1.00 |