0x468193b67d71bE2703d18fd6AE45e966016B583C-1782638221329
0x468193b67d71be2703d18fd6ae45e966016b583c
- Realised P&L
- $69.72
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $4.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.09at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?
- +$24.90at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$19.20at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?
- +$19.00at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?
- +$18.99at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 08-07 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 08-07 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-07 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.39 |
| 08-07 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 08-07 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 08-06 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.29 |
| 08-06 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.12 |
| 08-06 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 08-06 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 08-06 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.04 |
| 08-06 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 08-06 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.78 |
| 08-06 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-06 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |