0x467932414BF235de1DE601B1d83EC92556ef1Bf7-1783325272404
0x467932414bf235de1de601b1d83ec92556ef1bf7
- Realised P&L
- $6.13
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.570 | 1.000 | $2.00 | +$0.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down | 0.545 | 0.495 | $0.99 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up | 0.740 | 0.205 | $0.41 | −$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.95at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$22.20at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$20.20at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$16.63at 0.444Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$15.30at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.545 | $1.09 |
| 08-05 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $2.96 |
| 08-05 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 08-05 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.28 |
| 08-05 23:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $2.64 |
| 08-05 23:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $1.22 |
| 08-05 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $2.64 |
| 08-05 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $1.36 |
| 08-05 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 08-05 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $2.64 |
| 08-05 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 08-05 23:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-05 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 08-05 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.28 |