Umalik
0x4660c02f814a17c85c551bf051011564328743aa
- Realised P&L
- $-193.42
- Volume
- $27.6k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $4.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.85at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$60.72at 0.037Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?
- +$50.22at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$43.01at 0.086Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?
- +$40.77at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0277912368 | $8.87 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.0430516541 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 15:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $18.48 |
| 07-29 15:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:08 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1874999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 08:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.032 | $3.16 |
| 07-12 08:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14? | BUY | 0.0920000018 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:21 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6049999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:19 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4874999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999973 | $43.95 |
| 07-08 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |