PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Umalik

0x4660c02f814a17c85c551bf051011564328743aa

Realised P&L
$-193.42
Volume
$27.6k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$4.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6? · Yes0.0430.018$4.30$5.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1? · No0.0350.000$0.00$8.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.1190.000$0.00$12.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$4.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? · No0.0200.000$0.00$4.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Solana reach $110 in April? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$0.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$40.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?BUY0.0277912368$8.87
08-04 08:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?BUY0.0430516541$10.00
07-29 15:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 30?BUY0.05$18.48
07-29 15:26Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
07-14 20:08Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1874999936$20.00
07-12 08:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 14?BUY0.032$3.16
07-12 08:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?BUY0.0920000018$5.00
07-11 22:21Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.6049999988$10.00
07-11 22:19Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-11 22:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.5199999834$5.00
07-11 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.699999972$5.00
07-11 21:59Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.4874999872$10.00
07-08 13:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.4899999973$43.95
07-08 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.02$10.00
07-08 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.2699999806$10.00