PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Vger

0x4612d9f2720a6f4787704ac0d89764e05105d79b

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$100.3k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 01:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.2319537102$421.22
06-15 01:55Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.9$209.30
06-11 18:00Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.11$82.57
06-11 17:57Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.13$291.62
06-09 19:02Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.0050629214$16.17
06-09 01:56Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0500386664$20.00
06-09 00:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0298680724$100.00
06-08 18:23Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?SELL0.87$121.53
06-03 16:21Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?SELL0.934525508$304.45
05-31 02:18Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?BUY0.0469561856$150.00
05-28 15:05Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.06$15.00
05-28 14:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.05$99.95
05-25 03:39Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2674550377$500.00
05-23 00:30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.138563923$200.00
05-21 17:05Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2420244864$150.00