PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

elexa

0x45952ed80d6394d98cf9e9ce073c5d674520158c

Realised P&L
$185.27
Volume
$39.5k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$927.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9620.989$604.25+$16.20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6800.705$323.27+$11.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 09:58Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.68$311.81
07-18 11:57Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.978$310.03
07-15 07:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.962$588.05
07-03 12:59Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.99$307.89
07-03 12:58Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.984$196.80
07-03 12:50Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.9845125314$384.18
06-16 23:18Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY0.992$841.02
06-09 04:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$42.61
06-06 05:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$177.53
06-05 05:49Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?BUY0.9735651163$41.86
05-29 10:55Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.98$867.82
05-20 03:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.997$866.39
05-19 07:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?BUY0.998$866.12
05-18 14:37Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 18?BUY0.9975412963$53.87
05-18 14:37Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 18?BUY0.999$810.81