AYOUBNAJI12
0x45348124bdefb0192a326e8bd5e0a1228d7725b6
- Realised P&L
- $-27.65
- Volume
- $50.5k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $4.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.006 | $2.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $1.51 | −$0.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$4.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 7? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call? · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.25at 0.146Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
- +$149.55at 0.006Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
- +$21.85at 0.291Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$6.82at 0.010Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
- +$6.80at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.01 |
| 08-07 00:07 | Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0022244302 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.0024099096 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 23:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.0145279923 | $7.71 |
| 08-05 22:34 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.012724001 | $3.53 |
| 08-05 22:33 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0028807375 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:33 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0057416268 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.0017286284 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0018488731 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.001863655 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |