Mojsklad
0x45295b019663d12e436c4657f8a2e56d41572790
- Realised P&L
- $40.59
- Volume
- $263.8k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $162.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $121.21 | +$1.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $10.11 | +$0.51 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.996 | $7.63 | +$0.07 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.991 | 0.995 | $7.08 | +$0.02 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $7.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.960 | $4.82 | +$0.08 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.605 | $4.45 | −$2.62 |
| Giants vs. Mets · Mets | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Orioles vs. Cubs · Orioles | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Twins vs. Guardians · Guardians | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.07 |
| No Opensea token launch by July? · No | 0.734 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.97at 0.947Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
- +$27.13at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
- +$16.06at 0.998Will Solana dip to $145 in August?
- +$13.33at 0.600Pirates vs. Rockies
- +$11.75at 0.630Cardinals vs. Padres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 13:26 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.9619999045 | $7.07 |
| 07-06 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.60 |
| 06-02 21:13 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999987 | $7.56 |
| 05-14 20:41 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $120.00 |
| 04-20 17:04 | Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999936 | $4.74 |
| 04-20 17:03 | Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9679999046 | $9.25 |
| 03-21 13:17 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $7.06 |
| 03-12 20:14 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 02-24 12:56 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.00 |
| 12-31 15:57 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $92.38 |
| 12-31 15:57 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $95.91 |
| 12-31 15:57 | Will Solana reach $500 before 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $96.38 |
| 12-31 15:57 | XRP all time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.9980514615 | $96.97 |
| 12-31 15:57 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $98.77 |
| 12-31 15:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |