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0xkota

0x445f583ab0d2dfd9eda176c01b847adf0f70cc13

Realised P&L
$111.55
Volume
$34.7k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$17.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? · Yes0.4430.395$17.15$2.10
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 11? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$6.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23? · No0.0300.000$0.00$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 7? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$4.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 19? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 25? · Yes0.4280.000$0.00$21.56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8? · Yes0.4470.000$0.00$7.15
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 14? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$0.57
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 10? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$0.74
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 11? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 28? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$6.75
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans · Gujarat Titans0.1160.000$0.00$1.75
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$4.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 12:29Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.43$2.15
08-08 12:28Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.42$3.36
08-08 08:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.45$2.25
08-08 08:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.45$4.50
08-08 08:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.45$2.25
08-08 08:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.45$2.25
08-08 06:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.46$0.00
08-08 06:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9?BUY0.46$2.49
08-05 18:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?SELL0.53$2.65
08-05 18:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?SELL0.54$2.70
08-05 08:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?SELL0.39$1.95
08-05 05:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?BUY0.43$2.15
08-05 05:34Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?BUY0.37$1.85
08-05 05:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?BUY0.45$2.25
08-03 19:13Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4?SELL0.33$6.60