0xkota
0x445f583ab0d2dfd9eda176c01b847adf0f70cc13
- Realised P&L
- $111.55
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $17.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.67at 0.408T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)
- +$61.00at 0.390Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 31?
- +$47.16at 0.292Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 11?
- +$44.25at 0.137Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8?
- +$38.18at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-08 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-08 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-08 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-08 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-08 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.46 | $0.00 |
| 08-08 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.49 |
| 08-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-05 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-05 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-05 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-05 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |