shuai1
0x4441cb7e3d4ecedfcf791e1257c1fa4047f0680a
- Realised P&L
- $-494.97
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 380
- Open portfolio
- $75.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded380
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.22at 0.128Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?
- +$62.35at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
- +$54.97at 0.509Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$22.63at 0.570Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
- +$21.25at 0.485Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.7245657559 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.98 |
| 08-09 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-09 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 08-09 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.1522153301 | $6.87 |
| 08-09 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.71 |
| 08-09 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-09 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0240733249 | $1.90 |
| 08-09 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4158415537 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3801169164 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4345 | $8.69 |
| 08-09 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.5057915058 | $10.48 |
| 08-09 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.525 | $5.25 |
| 08-09 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.5178201369 | $5.30 |