0x43e22d2b9c371da90e91b2beff11bdde80909c01
- Realised P&L
- $10.56
- Volume
- $69.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $17.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.880 | $17.29 | +$6.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.600Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.37at 0.594Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.34at 0.790Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:26 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999817 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 03:15 | Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5999999891 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 09:36 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 05:20 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 05:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 07-27 02:20 | Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5939999474 | $2.01 |
| 07-25 14:17 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.97 |
| 07-24 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999718 | $5.04 |
| 07-24 02:15 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |