dianachornaya
0x43952a0335fd3648814ec6800cd0e4f6de523949
- Realised P&L
- $-3.42
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $4.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.760 | 0.710 | $1.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.740 | $1.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.41at 0.156Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$4.88at 0.170Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?
- +$1.70at 0.370Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?
- +$1.37at 0.490Ravens vs. Bills
- +$1.28at 0.610Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVD
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 19:14 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 19:12 | Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 20:32 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 19:20 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 19:28 | Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 19:01 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1559998783 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 19:02 | Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7939998777 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 19:02 | The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27) | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 02-21 19:00 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.21 |
| 01-20 19:34 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.6699999186 | $1.40 |
| 01-20 19:33 | Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 12-30 21:31 | Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9289999977 | $2.00 |
| 11-25 19:31 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 11-25 19:28 | Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.92 |
| 10-26 20:29 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7799998544 | $3.00 |