0x436dae128eCe2516AaEaCEB36b93164b9Bd17437-1781600484463
0x436dae128ece2516aaeaceb36b93164b9bd17437
- Realised P&L
- $-2.74
- Volume
- $164.76
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.070 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.360Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?
- +$1.29at 0.420Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?
- +$0.67at 0.597Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$-1.00at 0.405Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0695652174 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.49 |
| 08-06 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.962 | $2.29 |
| 08-05 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:29 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:27 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 12:41 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 23:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974998193 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 23:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4049998906 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 15:07 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |