PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

0x436dae128eCe2516AaEaCEB36b93164b9Bd17437-1781600484463

0x436dae128ece2516aaeaceb36b93164b9bd17437

Realised P&L
$-2.74
Volume
$164.76
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 8? · Yes0.0700.070$1.01+$0.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.6500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 20:02Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 8?BUY0.0695652174$1.00
08-07 17:20Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?SELL0.9$2.49
08-06 22:05Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-06 22:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-06 17:15Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?SELL0.962$2.29
08-05 23:06Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-31 18:29Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 18:27Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-20 12:41Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.008$1.00
07-18 23:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974998193$1.00
07-18 23:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4049998906$1.00
07-16 15:07France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.649999935$3.00