1783323132156
0x4351359bb3d8bcab2586723f17f0ee0e2ad05463
- Realised P&L
- $-59.84
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $69.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.75at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$29.95at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?
- +$19.80at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4?
- +$16.70at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?
- +$11.03at 0.520Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-08 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-07 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.33 | $0.15 |
| 08-07 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.067244 | $3.36 |
| 08-06 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 08-06 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-06 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 08-06 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.74060012 | $37.02 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 08-04 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-03 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |