0x422a83359Dc19F2243232d98ce0dDB5F512aC395-1761634669278
0x422a83359dc19f2243232d98ce0ddb5f512ac395
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $217.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,771
- Open portfolio
- $44.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,771
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$395.80at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$358.03at 0.662Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$340.98at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$328.65at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$326.09at 0.096Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.20 |
| 08-08 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 08-08 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.50 |
| 08-07 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5399999725 | $2.75 |
| 08-07 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 08-07 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.45 |
| 08-07 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 08-07 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $32.80 |
| 08-07 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-07 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 08-07 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.06 |
| 08-07 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-07 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.13 |
| 08-07 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-07 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |