PolyBot

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0x422a83359Dc19F2243232d98ce0dDB5F512aC395-1761634669278

0x422a83359dc19f2243232d98ce0ddb5f512ac395

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$217.0k
Markets traded
2,771
Open portfolio
$44.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,771
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? · Yes0.6790.720$14.92+$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? · Yes0.4750.460$5.98$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.4000.390$5.07$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? · Yes0.5401.000$5.00+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? · Yes0.6601.000$5.00+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7? · Yes0.4001.000$5.00+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.3000.260$3.90$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 7? · Yes0.1600.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? · Yes0.1800.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 7? · Yes0.2500.001$0.00$1.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7? · Yes0.2200.001$0.00$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7? · Yes0.5400.001$0.00$2.75
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 7? · Yes0.3000.001$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 04:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.4$5.20
08-08 04:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?BUY0.46$3.68
08-08 04:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?BUY0.3$4.50
08-07 16:14Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.5399999725$2.75
08-07 16:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7?BUY0.54$2.70
08-07 08:30Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.86$6.45
08-07 08:30Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.91$7.28
08-07 08:28Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.9$32.80
08-07 08:28Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.88$4.40
08-07 08:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.92$27.60
08-07 08:26Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7?BUY0.91$27.06
08-07 08:26Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7?SELL0.07$0.35
08-07 06:29Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.62$3.13
08-07 06:02Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7?BUY0.58$2.90
08-07 05:58Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?BUY0.18$1.08