PolyBot

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Traders

45645455464

0x41135fdf514c8712d4b40c3e87f767362586c6e2

Realised P&L
$128.72
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$137.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No0.9990.998$137.66$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:53Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?BUY0.999$137.86
07-02 10:40Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.99$135.63
06-15 11:45Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?BUY0.994$135.18
06-11 12:44Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?SELL0.991$134.78
06-08 10:33Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?BUY0.987$134.23
06-02 12:20Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?BUY0.999$135.86
05-04 02:04Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9595696048$136.00
04-16 11:46Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.963$134.82
04-12 11:04Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.964$134.96
04-12 10:59Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$1.20
04-03 10:40Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.013$1.30
03-25 00:48Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)BUY0.4799999987$132.22
03-25 00:33Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.012$1.20
03-22 01:59Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.013$1.30
03-21 02:15Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.023$2.30