45645455464
0x41135fdf514c8712d4b40c3e87f767362586c6e2
- Realised P&L
- $128.72
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $137.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $137.66 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.24at 0.480Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
- +$10.24at 0.928Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$1.40at 0.980Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
- +$0.69at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.86 |
| 07-02 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $135.63 |
| 06-15 11:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.994 | $135.18 |
| 06-11 12:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | SELL | 0.991 | $134.78 |
| 06-08 10:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.987 | $134.23 |
| 06-02 12:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.86 |
| 05-04 02:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9595696048 | $136.00 |
| 04-16 11:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $134.82 |
| 04-12 11:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $134.96 |
| 04-12 10:59 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 04-03 10:40 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 03-25 00:48 | Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4799999987 | $132.22 |
| 03-25 00:33 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 03-22 01:59 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 03-21 02:15 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.30 |