PolyBot

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Calc

0x3fd04ee1415111347febf99a0ce7ba2f83537474

Realised P&L
$-3.36
Volume
$58.10
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$0.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31? · Yes0.8100.090$0.11$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:11Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
07-02 18:38Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5$0.56
07-02 18:34RFK Jr. Out by December 31?SELL0.52$0.70
07-02 18:17RFK Jr. Out by December 31?BUY0.74$1.00
07-02 18:09Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
06-24 18:59Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.21$0.76
06-24 17:37 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.91$1.06
06-24 17:37Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.85$1.16
06-24 17:15Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
06-24 17:11Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.39$0.46
06-23 12:30Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.84$1.00
06-20 20:17Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
06-20 20:11Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.155$0.99
06-20 17:43Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?SELL0.61$0.96
06-20 15:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.8499994475$1.00