663
0x3f6bcd6339e238ca9135a1ffc5778eb3c4d82811
- Realised P&L
- $-244.80
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $61.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $16.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.02 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $14.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.836 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.777 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? · No | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.99at 0.750Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$2.26at 0.780Maduro out in 2025?
- +$2.09at 0.690US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$1.13at 0.930Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)
- +$0.72at 0.908Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 07:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 07:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 07:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 07-15 07:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999343 | $15.00 |
| 07-02 02:33 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 02:32 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2549999978 | $71.00 |
| 06-26 03:16 | Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 06-26 03:16 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 06-26 03:15 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 03:15 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9989999296 | $14.00 |
| 06-26 03:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.137 | $1.2k |