PolyBot

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Traders

663

0x3f6bcd6339e238ca9135a1ffc5778eb3c4d82811

Realised P&L
$-244.80
Volume
$52.5k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$61.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? · No0.9991.000$16.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No0.9991.000$15.02+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8? · No0.9991.000$15.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 9? · No0.9970.997$14.99$0.01
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8360.000$0.00$7.00
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7770.000$0.00$8.00
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$12.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? · No0.2550.000$0.00$71.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 05:39Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 9?BUY0.997$15.00
08-06 05:38Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 8?BUY0.999$15.00
08-06 05:38Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7?BUY0.999$16.00
08-06 05:38Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$15.00
07-15 07:04Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 13-19?BUY0.999$15.00
07-15 07:04Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19?BUY0.999$15.00
07-15 07:04Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?BUY0.999$16.00
07-15 07:04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.9989999343$15.00
07-02 02:33Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$11.00
07-02 02:32Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.2549999978$71.00
06-26 03:16Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?BUY0.999$16.00
06-26 03:16Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.997$13.00
06-26 03:15Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?BUY0.999$15.00
06-26 03:15Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?BUY0.9989999296$14.00
06-26 03:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.137$1.2k
Trader 663 · PolyBot