1772193266344
0x3f049e66abbc2d0bd014ddda0a20316ba673f573
- Realised P&L
- $-141.57
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 503
- Open portfolio
- $41.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded503
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.48at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on March 26?
- +$14.56at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
- +$14.27at 0.810Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$5.87at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 4?
- +$5.60at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:53 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 06-18 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.5834077426 | $1.77 |
| 06-17 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.7099999964 | $1.98 |
| 06-17 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.90 |
| 06-17 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.7399999202 | $2.04 |
| 06-17 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.7199996449 | $1.46 |
| 06-17 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.7799999013 | $1.58 |
| 06-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.8399999641 | $1.87 |
| 06-16 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 06-16 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.46 |
| 06-16 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.619999895 | $1.89 |
| 06-16 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.689999915 | $2.03 |
| 06-15 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.8299999341 | $1.89 |
| 06-15 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.8299996443 | $1.89 |
| 06-15 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |