summero
0x3ee86191bfb4772faca1fc684d66a4df9960a005
- Realised P&L
- $-119.02
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $134.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? · No | 0.610 | 0.535 | $57.01 | −$7.99 |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.355 | $40.11 | −$6.21 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.535 | $24.07 | −$6.53 |
| Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · Yes | 0.510 | 0.395 | $11.53 | −$3.36 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.205 | $1.36 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.20at 0.350Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$28.15at 0.260Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?
- +$21.79at 0.199Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
- +$20.14at 0.270Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$14.99at 0.322Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 03:47 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.209999982 | $7.69 |
| 08-09 01:51 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $23.06 |
| 08-08 23:03 | Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 08-08 08:50 | Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-08 03:37 | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | BUY | 0.63 | $44.33 |
| 08-07 15:52 | Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 08-07 10:06 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.621999996 | $17.57 |
| 08-07 09:31 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6174794585 | $65.68 |
| 08-05 01:24 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.74 | $28.12 |
| 08-05 01:24 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.26 |
| 08-05 01:24 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.26 |
| 08-05 01:24 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.74 | $28.12 |
| 08-05 01:24 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.74 | $28.12 |
| 08-04 22:53 | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-04 22:53 | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |