DanielWashington94
0x3e56b68608762b97f989497f1f97bfbd60da5510
- Realised P&L
- $1.21
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $60.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $27.47 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $18.38 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.60 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$0.07at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on July 2?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 11?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 23?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.40 |
| 08-05 23:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 08-05 19:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.40 |
| 08-05 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.50 |
| 08-05 11:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.80 |
| 07-31 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C or below on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-31 01:16 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.30 |
| 07-30 20:38 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999777 | $10.67 |
| 07-30 17:26 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999654 | $23.50 |
| 07-30 17:00 | Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31? | BUY | 0.9982246559 | $20.60 |
| 07-30 12:34 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $18.67 |
| 07-30 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999101 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 11:14 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999762 | $28.30 |
| 07-30 08:43 | Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.70 |
| 07-30 00:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.09 |