taysonfurry
0x3e015384b4edf6ce05bc290e5f64bcba1e54757a
- Realised P&L
- $-254.19
- Volume
- $232.8k
- Markets traded
- 580
- Open portfolio
- $149.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded580
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.71at 0.079Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
- +$194.17at 0.040Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?
- +$181.72at 0.458Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$120.45at 0.198Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$111.51at 0.160Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:06 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $28.39 |
| 08-05 02:53 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-05 02:51 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $40.80 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 08-02 15:16 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | SELL | 0.0220021482 | $2.05 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $11.20 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.01 |
| 08-02 15:06 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.37 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.0791960665 | $40.39 |
| 08-02 10:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.42 | $166.82 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.33 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $22.92 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $12.34 |