1313143124532
0x3dcae1c83c7cdc5206616163a885047997db5b4a
- Realised P&L
- $-18.78
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $42.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.55at 0.394US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.673Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$1.85at 0.495US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
- +$1.26at 0.936US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$1.18at 0.838Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 05:48 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.509999949 | $1.10 |
| 06-18 05:28 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999912 | $3.93 |
| 06-18 05:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.663 | $0.05 |
| 06-18 05:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.663 | $0.05 |
| 06-18 05:18 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.663 | $0.05 |
| 06-17 22:24 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BUY | 0.7429999393 | $1.09 |
| 06-17 22:24 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BUY | 0.7369998614 | $1.09 |
| 06-17 20:43 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.09 |
| 06-17 20:43 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.09 |
| 06-16 10:34 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999761 | $1.09 |
| 06-16 06:20 | Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999562 | $1.04 |
| 06-16 06:20 | Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999653 | $1.05 |
| 06-15 04:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.818 | $0.04 |
| 06-15 03:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.839 | $2.50 |
| 06-15 03:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.839 | $2.50 |