Lisimens
0x3dc2ed762e597f736382b5cf665639531dd17661
- Realised P&L
- $-87.79
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $12.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.37at 0.876Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?
- +$2.64at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?
- +$2.22at 0.916Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?
- +$1.98at 0.839Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 13?
- +$1.63at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.06 |
| 08-08 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.02 |
| 08-08 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.03 |
| 08-08 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.04 |
| 08-08 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.44 |
| 08-08 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9769999946 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9899995099 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.62 |
| 07-26 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.8699999888 | $5.45 |
| 07-26 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.8699999831 | $5.16 |