0x3dc2982566efcd2299eb20ebf4eaa150ff02ac5e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.75
- Volume
- $86.35
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $11.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.997 | $3.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.975 | $3.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.998 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.175 | $0.38 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$1.22at 0.600Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.04at 0.660Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
- +$0.88at 0.690Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.80at 0.711Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 10:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998897 | $1.48 |
| 08-03 10:02 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 19:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 11:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 17:06 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 23:20 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 11:22 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-28 23:50 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.11 |
| 07-27 23:27 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-27 14:51 | Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.5699999607 | $2.03 |
| 07-27 01:38 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7109999285 | $1.98 |