PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3dc2982566efcd2299eb20ebf4eaa150ff02ac5e

Realised P&L
$-7.75
Volume
$86.35
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$11.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6600.997$3.02+$1.02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.6500.975$3.00+$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7500.998$2.66+$0.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2500.245$1.96$0.04
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6800.175$0.38$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:05Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
08-03 10:03Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6799998897$1.48
08-03 10:02Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
08-02 13:51Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-02 03:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 19:53Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7499997187$2.00
07-31 11:41Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
07-30 17:06Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 23:20Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 11:22New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 23:50Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
07-28 12:28Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.37$1.11
07-27 23:27Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6$1.83
07-27 14:51Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.5699999607$2.03
07-27 01:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.7109999285$1.98