0x3dba5d9155319efc624227df8f40fd58b113a845
- Realised P&L
- $-38.65
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $7.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.96at 0.640Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$13.64at 0.770Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$9.08at 0.768Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
- +$7.97at 0.680Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$7.40at 0.740United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:14 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.20 |
| 08-08 10:58 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8899999773 | $1.96 |
| 08-08 10:21 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $3.50 |
| 08-08 10:00 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.549999886 | $1.93 |
| 08-08 08:53 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | SELL | 0.999 | $2.01 |
| 08-08 08:40 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.98 | $1.97 |
| 08-08 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.365 | $0.73 |
| 08-08 07:34 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3399998861 | $1.91 |
| 08-08 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.01 |
| 08-08 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.60 |
| 08-08 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.32 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5999999381 | $1.94 |
| 08-07 14:14 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.05 | $0.08 |
| 08-07 13:50 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6299998158 | $1.06 |
| 08-07 13:29 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $1.94 |