Chadfd
0x3da712aea046545af12111b799d2b94e36d76e67
- Realised P&L
- $-35.38
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $19.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.315 | $19.84 | +$0.31 |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.51 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.54 |
| Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garland · Joanna Garland | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.29at 0.999Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$114.54at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$22.44at 0.490Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
- +$17.93at 0.500Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$14.88at 0.500Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.93 |
| 08-05 11:55 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-05 11:55 | Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $19.53 |
| 07-15 06:01 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $44.95 |
| 07-15 06:01 | Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.33 | $15.51 |
| 07-15 06:00 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 07-15 06:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.70 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 07-15 05:59 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.00 |
| 07-02 08:53 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.49 | $21.56 |
| 06-02 12:08 | Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garland | BUY | 0.56 | $20.38 |
| 05-18 09:34 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY | 0.65 | $20.54 |
| 04-29 11:18 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 04-21 01:47 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $24.97 |
| 04-21 01:47 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 04-21 01:46 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.00 |