0x9457e8459E98Ab6419c40088Fe143C9FBFFc714b-1764226611455
0x3d8976c032571ade037432176b9c5e583056e368
- Realised P&L
- $-379.84
- Volume
- $91.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $608.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $148.57 | −$158.73 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No | 0.410 | 0.735 | $147.00 | +$65.00 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $119.64 | −$43.29 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.186 | $104.14 | −$0.20 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.011 | $52.46 | −$23.64 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.007 | $33.75 | −$48.25 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.035 | $2.80 | −$2.80 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.45 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? · No | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.57at 0.210US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
- +$4.92at 0.215Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 03:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1877980893 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 03:56 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.186 | $54.34 |
| 07-07 03:42 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 03:29 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.053881116 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 03:07 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $200.00 |
| 07-05 18:35 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 02:26 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0148367953 | $25.00 |
| 07-03 04:00 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $30.10 |
| 07-03 03:59 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $24.41 |
| 07-03 03:58 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015 | $26.10 |
| 06-29 01:58 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.215 | $25.80 |
| 06-27 23:20 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.021 | $16.80 |
| 06-27 22:29 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $36.75 |
| 06-11 23:42 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 17:47 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0189999995 | $37.00 |