PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x9457e8459E98Ab6419c40088Fe143C9FBFFc714b-1764226611455

0x3d8976c032571ade037432176b9c5e583056e368

Realised P&L
$-379.84
Volume
$91.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$608.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$148.57$158.73
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.4100.735$147.00+$65.00
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.006$119.64$43.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1870.186$104.14$0.20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.011$52.46$23.64
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.007$33.75$48.25
Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes0.0700.035$2.80$2.80
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$31.45
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? · No0.0570.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 03:59Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1877980893$50.00
07-11 03:56Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.186$54.34
07-07 03:42Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.06$30.00
07-07 03:29Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.053881116$20.00
07-07 03:07Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$200.00
07-05 18:35US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
07-05 02:26Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0148367953$25.00
07-03 04:00Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$30.10
07-03 03:59Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$24.41
07-03 03:58Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.015$26.10
06-29 01:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.215$25.80
06-27 23:20Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.021$16.80
06-27 22:29Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$36.75
06-11 23:42US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5399999981$100.00
06-06 17:47Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0189999995$37.00