PHO125
0x3d6d626583a3ca21cc07fd309b94ed291b27ea42
- Realised P&L
- $-184.23
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $7.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.19at 0.486Raptors vs. Nuggets
- +$62.37at 0.650Celtics vs. Heat
- +$51.52at 0.660Hawks vs. Celtics
- +$48.04at 0.510Rockets vs. Suns
- +$46.15at 0.520Knicks vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 40°C or higher on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0021983223 | $0.07 |
| 08-09 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.28 |
| 08-09 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0018333333 | $0.18 |
| 08-09 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-09 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.27 |
| 08-09 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0010814598 | $0.07 |
| 08-08 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.49 |
| 08-08 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 08-08 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0016584903 | $0.58 |