ggdfgdfgfd03
0x3cd7c24c90cdf939bf3890d6f28d3bbd7ae5e373
- Realised P&L
- $30.08
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $50.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? · No | 0.979 | 1.000 | $33.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? · No | 0.990 | 0.988 | $16.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.25at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?
- +$4.26at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?
- +$3.42at 0.991Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?
- +$2.35at 0.987Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?
- +$2.32at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 14:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $190.00 |
| 08-05 14:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9899999511 | $17.00 |
| 08-05 14:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.00 |
| 08-05 13:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 08-05 13:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999988 | $450.00 |
| 08-05 13:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999947 | $160.00 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9979999969 | $270.00 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99800198 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 11:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $550.00 |
| 08-05 11:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9970204655 | $57.00 |
| 08-05 11:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9955116588 | $45.00 |
| 08-05 11:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9943039868 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9947669781 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |