PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

4c88

0x3c90b7c7bac775dc35b25037f11df011e87a17fb

Realised P&L
$-286.98
Volume
$125.1k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.7900.490$764.40$468.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.125$126.75$238.29
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? · Yes0.6071.000$124.00+$48.69
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7410.158$31.44$116.02
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1900.330$4.62+$1.96
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.025$0.02$0.20
Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? · No0.3100.000$0.00$51.46
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$0.03
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3360.000$0.00$153.33
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? · No0.5000.000$0.00$39.50
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.3300.000$0.00$95.04
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$460.11
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21? · Yes0.3160.000$0.00$81.21
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2400.000$0.00$18.24
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4800.000$0.00$318.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 08:40Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?SELL0.73$338.72
04-11 23:30Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?SELL0.72$346.32
04-09 12:13Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL0.003$1.26
04-09 12:12Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL0.004$1.55
04-07 15:41Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.74$699.30
03-22 16:40ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaBUY0.79$1.2k
03-22 06:34Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.67$42.88
03-21 17:39Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?SELL0.46$368.00
03-20 23:47Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.65$41.60
03-20 19:04Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?BUY0.46$368.00
03-20 14:18Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY0.65$524.55
03-12 12:54Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsBUY0.54$534.60
03-11 11:16Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.52$163.80
03-11 11:09Will Trump say "Easter" in March?SELL0.15$17.25
03-11 04:42Will Trump say "Easter" in March?SELL0.04$12.04