4c88
0x3c90b7c7bac775dc35b25037f11df011e87a17fb
- Realised P&L
- $-286.98
- Volume
- $125.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$781.84at 0.110Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
- +$455.40at 0.540Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
- +$341.04at 0.510Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$322.63at 0.230Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
- +$264.25at 0.650Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 08:40 | Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.73 | $338.72 |
| 04-11 23:30 | Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.72 | $346.32 |
| 04-09 12:13 | Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.26 |
| 04-09 12:12 | Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.55 |
| 04-07 15:41 | Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.74 | $699.30 |
| 03-22 16:40 | ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.79 | $1.2k |
| 03-22 06:34 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $42.88 |
| 03-21 17:39 | Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? | SELL | 0.46 | $368.00 |
| 03-20 23:47 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $41.60 |
| 03-20 19:04 | Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala? | BUY | 0.46 | $368.00 |
| 03-20 14:18 | Will BetBoom Team qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $524.55 |
| 03-12 12:54 | Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | BUY | 0.54 | $534.60 |
| 03-11 11:16 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.52 | $163.80 |
| 03-11 11:09 | Will Trump say "Easter" in March? | SELL | 0.15 | $17.25 |
| 03-11 04:42 | Will Trump say "Easter" in March? | SELL | 0.04 | $12.04 |