0x3b256e2103ea327be0625f5b85e1e89ccdfcc15a
- Realised P&L
- $8.10
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $539.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.74at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down on July 5?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will anyone say "Treason" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?
- +$7.25at 0.579Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.22at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.87at 0.620Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.65 |
| 08-04 05:38 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999724 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 04:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.8799999789 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 03:44 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.85 | $18.67 |
| 08-04 03:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $13.17 |
| 08-04 03:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $8.86 |
| 08-04 03:38 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.929 | $10.14 |
| 08-04 03:38 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.96 |
| 08-04 03:38 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $8.96 |
| 08-04 03:37 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.792 | $7.92 |
| 08-04 03:37 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.207 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 02:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 02:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 02:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 02:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.02 |