superboard
0x3b16914ae131b2cceeac09fcc5e8af1372d831ae
- Realised P&L
- $8.83
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.23at 0.910Ethereum Up or Down on April 9?
- +$2.75at 0.950Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.977Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$0.71at 0.988Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$0.42at 0.981Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 06:41 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.71 |
| 07-10 04:00 | Will MrBeast hit 508 million subscribers by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $122.63 |
| 06-14 16:14 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.93 |
| 05-22 08:35 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 05-06 02:37 | Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $52.25 |
| 04-11 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.89 |
| 03-11 15:01 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.94 |
| 03-01 08:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $211.18 |
| 02-03 10:09 | Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 01-08 06:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.30 |
| 12-08 02:22 | Russian strike on Poland by December 31? | BUY | 0.9809999997 | $21.87 |
| 11-16 01:17 | Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.976560569 | $30.15 |
| 10-13 07:29 | Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.91 |
| 10-02 23:24 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $73.65 |
| 08-29 07:21 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31? | BUY | 0.9939999773 | $20.53 |