PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CLFBR

0x3adca623ca8a45cc43dfc8c8cb54fad8104801bb

Realised P&L
$492.07
Volume
$138.7k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$91.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1940.095$56.95$59.56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4470.345$10.55$3.12
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0170.003$5.00$29.35
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0660.050$4.69$1.58
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2140.093$4.35$5.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4170.195$4.20$4.80
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0390.009$2.46$7.54
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0340.003$1.55$19.45
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0980.075$1.53$0.47
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.0690.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down0.3320.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up0.2360.000$0.00$3.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.4720.000$0.00$74.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 00:27Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.008$1.04
07-02 00:26Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.011$3.29
07-01 20:32Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0659999941$10.00
07-01 17:16Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-01 16:42Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-01 16:27Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-01 16:25Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$5.00
06-30 04:49Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.012$1.05
06-30 04:48Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.012$2.83
06-30 04:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44$4.40
06-30 04:47US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.13$7.41
06-30 04:44Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$1.05
06-29 23:28Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-29 18:18Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?SELL0.4$40.00
06-29 17:44Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.031$6.94