CLFBR
0x3adca623ca8a45cc43dfc8c8cb54fad8104801bb
- Realised P&L
- $492.07
- Volume
- $138.7k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $91.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$499.12at 0.593US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$395.33at 0.736US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$171.60at 0.583US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$46.80at 0.410US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$41.32at 0.223Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 00:27 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 07-02 00:26 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.29 |
| 07-01 20:32 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0659999941 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:16 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:42 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:27 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 16:25 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 04:49 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.05 |
| 06-30 04:48 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.83 |
| 06-30 04:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 06-30 04:47 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.41 |
| 06-30 04:44 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.05 |
| 06-29 23:28 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:18 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 06-29 17:44 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.94 |