0x3AD5378a2E718D8a14Be5f77095112bc70845116-1778865745759
0x3ad5378a2e718d8a14be5f77095112bc70845116
- Realised P&L
- $-1.12
- Volume
- $228.82
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $19.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GV CD San José vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.465 | $7.44 | +$3.45 |
| Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $3.67 | −$0.07 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $3.52 | −$0.10 |
| Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.145 | $3.22 | −$0.33 |
| Will Denver Summit FC vs. North Carolina Courage end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.260 | $1.92 | +$0.07 |
| Will St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
| Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
| Will York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.50at 0.220Will Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
- +$6.16at 0.230Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
- +$5.55at 0.250Will Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
- +$3.08at 0.230Will Dundee United FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?
- +$2.36at 0.290Will Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:34 | Will GV CD San José vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2491875 | $3.99 |
| 08-05 07:04 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.56 |
| 08-05 05:33 | Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.62 |
| 08-04 19:38 | Will Denver Summit FC vs. North Carolina Courage end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.85 |
| 08-03 14:08 | Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.73 |
| 08-02 03:15 | Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.78 |
| 08-02 03:15 | Will York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.85 |
| 08-01 20:46 | Will St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.87 |
| 08-01 16:01 | Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.87 |
| 08-01 12:22 | Will CSD Mixco vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.85 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $0.97 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $0.97 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $0.96 |
| 08-01 10:33 | Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.85 |
| 08-01 07:02 | Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $0.92 |