Baby457
0x3ad4beaa90ce2f7e58041073a4e2049d8f9878ed
- Realised P&L
- $79.09
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $132.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $132.67 | +$0.20 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.94at 0.560UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$16.62at 0.520Devils vs. Penguins
- +$3.46at 0.910Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
- +$1.38at 0.734Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
- +$1.18at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $132.47 |
| 07-08 13:02 | Will Solana dip to $10 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.87 |
| 06-06 15:42 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $448.65 |
| 06-05 17:01 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $581.25 |
| 05-05 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 05-05 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $458.16 |
| 04-13 14:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $582.25 |
| 04-13 14:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April? | SELL | 0.994 | $336.07 |
| 04-13 14:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | SELL | 0.996 | $246.56 |
| 04-08 14:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $246.50 |
| 04-07 12:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $336.27 |
| 04-07 12:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April? | BUY | 0.988 | $246.44 |
| 04-06 16:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April? | BUY | 0.989 | $582.90 |
| 04-05 11:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April? | BUY | 0.993 | $583.55 |
| 04-05 11:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April? | SELL | 0.987 | $314.24 |