Uppbear
0x3a237fa769d8638bb2ec8dc02830be80330ac9e8
- Realised P&L
- $-27.62
- Volume
- $582.84
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $12.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.35at 0.852Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
- +$0.23at 0.810Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
- +$0.14at 0.950Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?
- +$-0.02at 0.520Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999554 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1614353612 | $1.70 |
| 08-06 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.41 | $5.74 |
| 08-06 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4752474899 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.98 |
| 06-28 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 06-28 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 28? | SELL | 0.0105027652 | $0.42 |
| 06-27 22:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.2899999114 | $1.80 |