0x3A10795cD9f1b5d4F3407DB728Cc98923Ea68bd7-1770209450695
0x3a10795cd9f1b5d4f3407db728cc98923ea68bd7
- Realised P&L
- $-74.12
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $10.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$320.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 7, 1PM ET
- +$320.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - February 4, 9AM ET
- +$320.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on February 6?
- +$320.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 03-19 11:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.0068085438 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 08:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17? | BUY | 0.0041771094 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 12:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.9929999953 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 13:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.0054602042 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 11? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 11:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 12:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 9? | BUY | 0.9973378118 | $225.00 |
| 03-07 13:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.9955613169 | $110.00 |
| 03-06 13:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 12:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 10:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.50 |
| 03-03 13:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.0063636364 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 10:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.2199999977 | $56.50 |
| 02-11 15:11 | Will XRP reach $2.00 February 9-15? | BUY | 0.0044599055 | $1.00 |