0x39Be2Db5457bF514bf9032A315174acAD534275F-1769365886288
0x39be2db5457bf514bf9032a315174acad534275f
- Realised P&L
- $-198.17
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $168.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.063 | $83.25 | −$143.19 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.100 | $61.18 | −$146.82 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $24.03 | −$6.01 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners · Over | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.00at 0.620Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$78.00at 0.610Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$57.55at 0.711Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:33 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:32 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4174999932 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:27 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:25 | Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Corners | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 03-09 18:59 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.82 |
| 03-03 10:25 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.61 | $67.10 |
| 03-03 09:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 03-03 09:54 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.711 | $35.55 |
| 01-27 20:07 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.04 |
| 01-27 20:06 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $226.44 |
| 01-27 20:06 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $208.00 |