0x39A5A606F1fA70492EE9a36c0910fa37427902A3-1778240312064
0x39a5a606f1fa70492ee9a36c0910fa37427902a3
- Realised P&L
- $-29.02
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $4.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.20at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
- +$12.80at 0.413Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 4?
- +$8.98at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?
- +$8.86at 0.311Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 27?
- +$7.96at 0.386Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 20:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 05:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:22 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 28? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 05:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.1192012554 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 11:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 11:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $1.74 |
| 07-22 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.37 |
| 07-21 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 11:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |