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Traders

joydivision2

0x398a127b52f5b7d9590446d9979bd3e2e4a04129

Realised P&L
$12.08
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$141.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chirayu Rana sued? · Yes0.8471.000$28.80+$4.40
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.9981.000$25.64+$0.05
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · No0.9981.000$12.72+$0.02
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9820.998$5.08+$0.08
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? · No0.9861.000$5.07+$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9000.820$4.56$0.44
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9510.984$4.13+$0.13
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9250.955$4.13+$0.13
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9700.917$3.78$0.22
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.975$3.11+$0.11
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.942$3.10+$0.10
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.930$3.07+$0.07
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.935$3.02+$0.02
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.945$3.02+$0.02
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31? · No0.9191.000$2.18+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 22:47Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.649999924$1.71
05-06 18:33Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.8099998662$1.09
05-06 17:08Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.8199992928$1.09
05-03 19:49Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.8399999075$1.09
05-01 23:48Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.969999849$4.11
05-01 18:59Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.95$3.11
05-01 18:59Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.8199999097$1.09
05-01 18:49Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.8399998377$4.14
05-01 18:49Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.839999878$4.13
05-01 18:49Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.8299999825$2.84
05-01 17:12Chirayu Rana sued?BUY0.7699999011$1.09
04-30 16:18US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.999$4.99
04-30 02:18US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.998$3.45
04-30 02:13US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.998$1.09
04-30 02:08US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.998$3.17