joydivision2
0x398a127b52f5b7d9590446d9979bd3e2e4a04129
- Realised P&L
- $12.08
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $141.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.51at 0.855Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$0.35at 0.850Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$0.32at 0.962Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$0.30at 0.930Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$0.30at 0.870Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 22:47 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.649999924 | $1.71 |
| 05-06 18:33 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.8099998662 | $1.09 |
| 05-06 17:08 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.8199992928 | $1.09 |
| 05-03 19:49 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.8399999075 | $1.09 |
| 05-01 23:48 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.969999849 | $4.11 |
| 05-01 18:59 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.11 |
| 05-01 18:59 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.8199999097 | $1.09 |
| 05-01 18:49 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.8399998377 | $4.14 |
| 05-01 18:49 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.839999878 | $4.13 |
| 05-01 18:49 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.8299999825 | $2.84 |
| 05-01 17:12 | Chirayu Rana sued? | BUY | 0.7699999011 | $1.09 |
| 04-30 16:18 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 04-30 02:18 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.45 |
| 04-30 02:13 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.09 |
| 04-30 02:08 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.17 |