JeffreyPrice3911
0x38c1b89673d969827d2af304677b9c99344e2f84
- Realised P&L
- $-112.22
- Volume
- $103.5k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $733.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.570 | 0.895 | $411.70 | +$149.50 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.980 | $321.28 | +$32.64 |
| Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.015 | $0.04 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$596.77at 0.281US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5
- +$282.87at 0.370Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
- +$135.18at 0.700Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
- +$55.84at 0.720Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
- +$48.89at 0.836Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 15:07 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $288.64 |
| 04-09 10:38 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $660.88 |
| 04-07 14:14 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $525.70 |
| 03-30 15:41 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 03-30 15:39 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 03-30 15:38 | Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 03-30 15:05 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $459.42 |
| 03-26 07:33 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $32.64 |
| 03-24 08:32 | Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.96 |
| 03-23 18:53 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $491.04 |
| 03-22 02:44 | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SELL | 0.57 | $225.15 |
| 03-22 02:43 | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | SELL | 0.57 | $302.10 |
| 03-20 13:39 | Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | BUY | 0.78 | $721.50 |
| 03-19 12:30 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $124.25 |
| 03-18 16:52 | Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |