popolle
0x389e92e8658a6a3e6fdf9a6f301f26d62cae5546
- Realised P&L
- $-71.99
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $2.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.44at 0.195Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.42at 0.405Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$10.75at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$8.93at 0.573World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden
- +$8.75at 0.364Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:09 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9 | $4.00 |
| 07-16 10:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $21.33 |
| 07-15 08:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 08:46 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2269999947 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 11:32 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 11:32 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 11:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3909999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 15:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999895 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 15:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2159999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 08:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.385 | $153.66 |
| 07-09 19:55 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:49 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.20 |
| 07-09 18:49 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $5.34 |
| 07-08 19:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $17.10 |
| 07-08 11:06 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |