PolyBot

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Traders

ssssssssstxb

0x38068dcdb33621659a8eab75029fcd06fc315631

Realised P&L
$-83.05
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
279
Open portfolio
$20.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded279
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0670.057$8.43$1.57
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.6300.935$1.48+$0.48
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7000.930$1.33+$0.33
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.760$1.04+$0.04
OKX IPO in 2026? · No0.9000.920$1.02+$0.02
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7600.750$0.99$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.565$0.94$0.06
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9440.887$0.94$0.06
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8200.755$0.92$0.08
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8200.735$0.90$0.10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.495$0.81$0.19
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? · No0.6100.445$0.73$0.27
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yes0.6000.425$0.71$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 07:59Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$9.46
07-10 09:00Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0669999939$10.00
07-10 06:17Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9036617672$211.49
07-10 05:04Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
07-10 05:02Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0199555395$1.66
07-10 02:48Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999997$110.00
07-10 02:43Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999997$110.00
07-08 09:55Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.060075423$5.00
07-07 07:17Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-06 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
07-03 09:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-03 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSELL0.37$0.82
07-03 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.4499997975$1.00
06-30 13:52Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
06-30 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.859999914$1.00