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0x38068dcdb33621659a8eab75029fcd06fc315631
- Realised P&L
- $-83.05
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $20.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.38at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$5.42at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$5.01at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$4.14at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$3.33at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 07:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.46 |
| 07-10 09:00 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0669999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 06:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9036617672 | $211.49 |
| 07-10 05:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 05:02 | Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0199555395 | $1.66 |
| 07-10 02:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $110.00 |
| 07-10 02:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $110.00 |
| 07-08 09:55 | Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.060075423 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 07:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $0.82 |
| 07-03 09:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 13:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |