govnoa
0x372cc1a3bc740005fd9e7bf4c7a4bcf5bc11597b
- Realised P&L
- $26.37
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $16.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.96 | +$0.01 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.883 | 0.099 | $0.27 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.95at 0.518Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?
- +$2.81at 0.640Solana above $145 on October 18?
- +$1.80at 0.620Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$1.51at 0.570$BTC dips below $50k before October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 20:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.95 |
| 08-03 18:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.31 |
| 07-15 19:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9989999772 | $15.63 |
| 06-19 15:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.37 |
| 06-17 20:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.04 |
| 06-16 05:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999571 | $3.19 |
| 06-16 05:38 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.30 |
| 06-16 05:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? | BUY | 0.9099998312 | $3.99 |
| 06-16 05:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.98 |
| 06-16 05:32 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.64 |
| 05-27 09:47 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.24 |
| 05-22 14:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $161.63 |
| 05-10 02:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $164.99 |
| 04-27 14:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.63 |
| 04-22 12:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.48 |