PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

McF1y

0x3680c4e5556f51fb22000870f64f27ab7d91a456

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$883.4k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$11.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0700.004$6.00$99.00
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0140.002$5.36$44.63
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$40.00
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$79.99
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.17
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$102.03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$40.69
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$70.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 01:30Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.037$44.40
05-06 16:49Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?BUY0.002$6.00
05-06 11:48Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?SELL0.002$5.39
05-04 12:01Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?BUY0.002$6.07
05-01 18:05Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?SELL0.003$3.00
04-17 11:22Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?BUY0.54$57.21
04-15 18:02Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?BUY0.002$1.92
04-15 05:42Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.002$0.31
04-08 18:52Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.87$0.09
04-08 18:52Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.12$12.39
04-06 08:44Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.1199999996$244.00
04-01 08:24Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.16$96.00
03-31 23:53US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.008$0.64
03-31 12:21US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.024$19.36
03-31 05:49US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.023434302$119.51