0x365e9b1a4d76ceb5364f7c0a3a4b1cc4416f33d4
- Realised P&L
- $-54.19
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $6.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.95at 0.070Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$13.95at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
- +$8.90at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 10? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 08-08 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 08-08 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 08-08 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 08-07 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.18 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.65 |
| 08-07 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 08-06 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.0547058824 | $1.86 |
| 08-06 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-06 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.98 |
| 08-06 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 08-05 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.61 |
| 08-05 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |