0x3e5d1d0c
0x3625ab5dde159eb89df3d2dc6c66ffeb363a2a57
- Realised P&L
- $-6.57
- Volume
- $82.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $397.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.05at 0.288Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
- +$83.42at 0.210Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
- +$36.89at 0.410Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
- +$26.11at 0.822Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$17.34at 0.070Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:21 | Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1195 | $17.93 |
| 08-04 21:21 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 21:21 | Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.7727413793 | $44.82 |
| 08-04 21:21 | Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes? | BUY | 0.66 | $0.34 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $26.28 |
| 08-04 17:59 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.222 | $12.21 |
| 08-04 14:21 | Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.43 | $18.06 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.6533333333 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 13:43 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.51 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4445555556 | $20.01 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.137539125 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.180549 | $14.44 |
| 08-04 12:31 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1757525 | $35.15 |
| 08-04 12:27 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | SELL | 0.51 | $61.20 |